Fact-check #02

“No evidence” versus Cochrane

In December 2023, Anvisa stated that e-cigarettes do not help people quit smoking. A year earlier, the field’s most authoritative review had already concluded the opposite, with high certainty. It was dismissed in a single sentence.

What they said

Anvisa, Vote 459/2023

Board of Directors, 4 Dec 2023, summarising the regulatory impact assessment

“[Electronic smoking devices] show no evidence indicating them as products that can be used for smoking cessation.”

GGTAB, Anvisa’s technical unit

Presentation to the Board of Directors, 1 Dec 2023

“No type of [e-cigarette] is useful for smoking cessation or treatment.”

Quotes from Brazilian documents are free translations from Portuguese.

How Cochrane was dismissed

Anvisa knew the review. And chose another.

Describing UK policy, the vote acknowledges that it is based on Cochrane, and adds:

“[…] based on evidence from health services and on the Cochrane Collaboration review […], I would like to highlight, even though there is no conclusive evidence on this in the scientific community.”

The vote then adopts a review prepared for the Irish government that saw “no clear differences” between vaping and nicotine replacement. Not a single line explains why that review should outweigh Cochrane.

What the source says

Cochrane

Living systematic review, November 2025 update

With high certainty, nicotine vapes help more people quit smoking than patches and gum.

104 studies, 30,366 participants. Risk ratio of 1.55 (95% CI 1.28 to 1.88) against nicotine replacement. No clear difference in adverse events.

Out of every 100 people trying to quit

Nicotine vapes

9

Patches or gum

6

People not smoking after 6 months or more. Range for vapes: 8 to 11 in 100.

The order of events

  1. Nov 2022

    Cochrane rates as high certainty the evidence that vapes help more than nicotine replacement.

  2. Dec 2023

    Anvisa states the products “show no evidence” for quitting and keeps the ban.

  3. 2024

    Smoking in Brazil rises from 9.3% to 11.6%, the first increase since 2007.

  4. Nov 2025

    A new Cochrane update, with 104 studies, keeps the high-certainty rating.

Why this matters

Anvisa does not have to agree with Cochrane. But dismissing the field’s most authoritative review in one sentence, with no counter-analysis, is not regulatory science.

The people who pay are smokers who have already tried patches and gum and couldn’t quit. The tool that works best for them was declared not to exist.

What we are not saying

We are not saying vaping is harmless, or that it works for everyone. Cochrane itself notes that long-term effects remain uncertain. We are saying that the evidence that it helps people quit exists, is high-certainty, and was ignored.